Strategy Red Team · free MIT Skill

Attack the plan before reality does.

Hand your assistant a PRD, roadmap or strategy. It finds the claims the plan cannot survive without, attacks the strongest version of each, and tells you the cheapest test to run this week and the threshold at which to stop.

Right: an unedited excerpt from a saved run on a fictional lunch-kit startup.

#1 of 5 · ranked

Claim: Seattle will behave like Portland (and justifies a second kitchen in Q2).

Steelman: the product is built for a segment (20–45 person studios without kitchens) that exists in any tech/design city, and Seattle has more of them than Portland.

Fails if: Seattle demand, pricing and occupancy differ enough that a second kitchen sits underused… The plan supplies no Seattle data at all.

Cheapest test: Seattle waitlist plus pre-order via the existing Portland kitchen on a small trial route, rather than capital for a second kitchen.

Kill criterion

Fewer than ~10 Seattle offices (est. threshold) commit to a trial or pre-order at $11.50 before any lease is signed.

cosmetic, not attacked: ad creative, add-on naming, exact Wednesday cutoff


What it is

A single instruction file that turns a capable AI assistant into a sharp, fair adversary. It lists everything the plan asserts, keeps only the load-bearing claims, steelmans each one and then attacks that strongest version — never a strawman.

Every surviving risk is written as “Fails if…”, ranked by impact × likelihood × cheapness to test, and paired with evidence to get this week, a kill criterion and the cheapest test. If part of the plan is sound, the Skill must say so.

Not a pre-mortem. A pre-mortem imagines the plan already failed and narrates why. A red-team attacks the assumptions now, while there is still time to run the cheapest test.

Who it is for

  • Product managers taking a PRD or roadmap into executive review.
  • Founders about to commit capital, a hire or a launch date.
  • Strategy leads who want a challenger that is specific, not generic.
  • Reviewers asked to “poke holes” in someone else’s plan, fairly.

Send it

  • A strategy, PRD or roadmap before a go / no-go meeting
  • Expansion, pricing, launch or new-feature bets
  • A plan that has only had polite feedback so far
  • A second opinion from another model, if you ask for it

Send it elsewhere

  • Narrative “how did this fail” workshops — use a pre-mortem
  • Exhaustive risk registers; it keeps 3–5 kill-assumptions
  • Financial, legal or compliance sign-off
  • Fresh market data; it does not browse on its own

What you provide, what you receive

You provide

  • The plan: PRD, roadmap, strategy memo or a few lines
  • The numbers it rests on (traction, margin, goals)
  • Any evidence you already have for its claims
  • Optional: ask for a cross-model second opinion

You receive

  • Red-Team: the plan in one line
  • 3–5 ranked kill-assumptions, each with Claim · Fails if · Evidence to get this week · Kill criterion · Cheapest test
  • What’s Well-Reasoned — what holds up, and why
  • What I Couldn’t Assess — gaps in the plan

Where it runs

Any AI assistant that can read a Skill file, including Claude Code and Codex. Download the free plaintext package from Finch, or the source from GitHub, then install it with your assistant’s Skill method or ask it to read SKILL.md.

No extra API key, script or service. You still need access to an assistant model, which may carry its own subscription or usage cost. The Skill has no built-in web research; it judges the plan and evidence you give it. The optional cross-model mode needs a second model you can already reach.

Limits and licence

Output quality depends on the plan and the model. Thresholds it proposes are judgments to confirm, not measured facts.

MIT licence, Copyright (c) 2026 Pawel Huryn. Source: phuryn/pm-skills at commit 2a12295a7717, path pm-execution/skills/strategy-red-team. The package adds a README, NOTICE, provenance note and a promotional cover; the instructions are unchanged.


How it was checked

One controlled run by a Claude Code subagent on a fictional company produced all 11 required parts: 5 ranked kill-assumptions, each steelmanned and complete, plus what holds up and what could not be assessed. Ranking order was given without per-item scores. The package published on Finch as Skill #311 and its plaintext download matched the audited files. Codex, native client installation, the cross-model mode and repeat runs were not tested. Full trail on the Benchmark tab.